Golden Globes 2018 Predictions: Who Will Take Home the Golden Statue?

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It’s the most wonderful time of the film year: awards season!  While there have been a few critics awards given out here and there, the first big extravagant, red carpet event is here: the Golden Globes!  The Golden Globes are voted on by the ninety-three members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, and given out on January 7, 2018.  Once again, I’ll do my best to predict these awards (I have had a pretty good track record in the past!). Here are my very unauthorized, somewhat informed Golden Globes film predictions.

Best Motion Picture, Drama

Dunkirk

The Post

The Shape of Water

Call Me by Your Name

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Prediction: The Shape of Water will most likely take home the coveted Best Drama Picture award on Sunday.  The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA), who votes on the Globes, normally go for a very European movie that incorporates aspects of the film industry.  The Shape of Water checks both of those boxes, and it truly is a beautiful film.  However, I would not be surprised if they went with more basic choices: The Post or Dunkirk.

 

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

The Disaster Artist

Get Out

The Greatest Showman

I, Tonya

Lady Bird

Prediction: I am 100% confident that Lady Bird will win this category.  It has collected several accolades throughout the awards season from critics groups.  The fan reaction has been extraordinary as well.  Lady Bird is the highest rated movie of all time on Rotten Tomatoes with a 99% “fresh” (positive) score.  If Lady Bird does take home the Globe on Sunday, it will gain even more exposure and increase its chances for Best Picture at the Oscars.

 

Best Director

Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World

Steven Spielberg, The Post

Prediction: Best Director is definitely the hardest category to predict.  I feel like it could really go to any of these acclaimed directors and truthfully I would be happy about it.  However, I am self-proclaimed movie pundit so I’ll have to go with Christopher Nolan.  Nolan has been nominated only once before and has never won.  Most say he is “overdue” for the coveted award and that narrative could propel him forward to a win.  However, don’t count out any of the other directors because Best Director is a very unpredictable category.

 

Best Actor, Motion Picture, Drama

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Tom Hanks, The Post

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Prediction: Timothée Chalamet will win the Golden Globe on Sunday.  I know everyone thinks Gary Oldman will win because his performance is “transformative” or whatever.  However, Hollywood is more ready than ever to embrace the young progressive actors and that’s exactly who Chalamet is.  It also doesn’t help Oldman’s case that he has infamously spoken out against the Golden Globes, referring to the awards show as “meaningless.” I could be wrong, but don’t be surprised if Chalamet walks away with the well deserved golden statue on Sunday night.

 

Best Actress, Motion Picture, Drama

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Meryl Streep, The Post

Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Prediction: Much to my chagrin, I truly believe Sally Hawkins will win Best Actress in a Drama.  Although Frances McDormand arguably gave the better performance, the Globes do love to award an actress in a very European-esque film. Just look at Isabelle Huppert’s unexpected win for Elle last year.  Also if The Shape of Water wins Best Drama, I would not be surprised if the HFPA will continue the trend and award Sally Hawkins as well.

 

Best Actor, Motion Picture, Comedy

Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes

Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver

James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Prediction: Best Actor in a Comedy is the lock this year in my opinion. It is James Franco’s to lose at this point.  He has been out on the campaign trail charming voters and fans alike.  His performance as real-life figure Tommy Wiseau in The Disaster Artist has been called the greatest performance of his career and has been garnering a good amount of critics’ prizes. I can’t wait for Franco’s acceptance speech on Sunday, which will likely propel him to his second Academy Award nomination.

 

Best Actress, Motion Picture, Comedy

Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker

Prediction: Saoirse Ronan is the clear frontrunner for this category.  She gave one of the best performances of the year and has continued to receive acclaim throughout this awards season.  The Globes do love to award charming, young stars and Ronan fits that description to a T.  All we can do now is hope she mentions how to pronounce her name in her acceptance speech.

 

Best Supporting Actor, Motion Picture

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name

Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Prediction: I would be so happy if Sam Rockwell won as I think he gave the second best performance of the year (only behind Timothée Chalamet).  However, I think it’s Willem Dafoe’s title at this point.  He has won every award up to this point, and most feel like he is overdue for a Globe as he has never won before.  Also don’t count Christopher Plummer out, he may be the big surprise of the night as a way for the HFPA to say “Screw you” to Kevin Spacey.

 

Best Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Hong Chau, Downsizing

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Prediction: Laurie Metcalf easily wins this one. I truly don’t find Best Supporting Actress to be a particularly competitive category this year. I mean there’s a Downsizing nomination, really?  I know the Globes sometimes like to go outside the box, but Hong Chau’s nomination is very surprising to me. Not only was Downsizing a critical and box office fail, but Chau’s character in the film has been faced with much controversy and has even been called offensive to the Asian culture. Regardless, since this is not a Downsizing rant column (although I might like it to be), I can’t wait for Metcalf to finally earn a Golden Globe for a film and not just Roseanne.